Scientists warn the 1.5C warming threshold could be reached by 2029
Copernicus says warming has sped up since the Paris agreement, while a separate report finds current policies leave the world far off track.
Two new reports released at the COP31 climate conference in Antalya, Turkey, show how far the world still is from limiting global warming. The Climate Action Tracker found the planet is still on track to warm nearly 5 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100.
The European Union's Copernicus climate service said warming has accelerated significantly since the 2015 Paris agreement. When the pact was adopted, the average temperature was projected to pass its long-term threshold of 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit above preindustrial levels around 2045. Copernicus now projects that threshold could be crossed as soon as 2029.
Climate Analytics policy analyst Sarah Heck said collective government action has stalled for the fifth consecutive year. Greta Thunberg, attending the talks for the first time since 2021, said the current level of warming has already caused deadly floods, wildfires and glacier collapses.
Key points
- Copernicus projects the 2.7F threshold could be crossed as soon as 2029, not around 2045 as once expected.
- The Climate Action Tracker projects nearly 5F of warming by 2100.
- Climate Analytics says government action has stalled for five years.
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Summarized with AI from the sources above and reviewed before publishing.
